State of the Chicago P&R
Posted: Tue Feb 27, 2024 6:26 pm
With 70% of the regular season done, it's as good a time as any to look at Chicago's strengths & weaknesses, in particular our P&R.
Style of Play
We are a heavy P&R team, ranking at the top of the league in shooting off the P&R and #1 in feeding the roll man off the P&R and hitting stationary Spot Up shooters off the P&R action.
P&R Roll Man Possessions: #1
P&R Ballhandler Possessions: #6
Spot Up Possessions: #2
What we do not do is any kind of off-ball movement, Off Screens, Cuts, or Hand-Offs.
Off Screen Possessions: #30
Cut Possessions: #29
Hand-Off Possessions: #29
(Contrary to popular opinion, we're average in Isolation. We probably over-index the last few minutes of close games.)
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P&R Roll Man Effectiveness
The vast majority of our P&R Roll Man scoring comes from Vucevic. He is an extreme outlier in the league in how many possessions he gets on this type of play. Most of the league's centers are getting 100-170 possessions, Vuc got 355.
Unfortunately for us, Vucevic is the worst scorer of all the centers in the list above at efficiency in scoring. Vuc does shoot 3s, but even with 3s factored in with eFG%, his eFG% is the worst from the list of centers above.
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P&R Roll Ballhandler Effectiveness
There are too many ballhandler scorers off the P&R to chart, but the Bulls do have two of the most frequent shooters off the P&R in Derozan #13 and White #19. I also threw Ayo's eFG% for comparison, but he doesn't have enough volume to be compared to the other players on this list.
Initially it looks like Derozan isn't that great, but Derozan is an extreme outlier in terms of drawing shooting fouls, he has a higher rate than anyone on this list and more than double the rate of some of the other players. When the points from drawn shooting fouls is thrown in, he's better than most on the list.
Overall, whether Derozan stays or goes in the summer the Bulls have very promising young ballhandlers.
However the other end of the P&R is quite literally the worst in the league and at his age Vuc is only likely to get worse, unlike Coby & Ayo who will likely get better.
What compounds the problem is that we've chosen to utilize our league worst roll man at an insane rate. We're in a situation where we take what we are the worst at, and do it more than any other team in the league. It's unfortunate because we've had some huge improvements from Coby, Ayo, and Caruso so one would expect a much better offense this year. But it all nets out to this team scoring less than last year's team (111 ppg vs 113 ppg) with almost the same offensive rating.
The logical moves for next season would be to keep our ballhandling core, and completely overhaul our big man situation.
Style of Play
We are a heavy P&R team, ranking at the top of the league in shooting off the P&R and #1 in feeding the roll man off the P&R and hitting stationary Spot Up shooters off the P&R action.
P&R Roll Man Possessions: #1
P&R Ballhandler Possessions: #6
Spot Up Possessions: #2
What we do not do is any kind of off-ball movement, Off Screens, Cuts, or Hand-Offs.
Off Screen Possessions: #30
Cut Possessions: #29
Hand-Off Possessions: #29
(Contrary to popular opinion, we're average in Isolation. We probably over-index the last few minutes of close games.)
_____________________________
P&R Roll Man Effectiveness
The vast majority of our P&R Roll Man scoring comes from Vucevic. He is an extreme outlier in the league in how many possessions he gets on this type of play. Most of the league's centers are getting 100-170 possessions, Vuc got 355.
Unfortunately for us, Vucevic is the worst scorer of all the centers in the list above at efficiency in scoring. Vuc does shoot 3s, but even with 3s factored in with eFG%, his eFG% is the worst from the list of centers above.
_________________________________
P&R Roll Ballhandler Effectiveness
There are too many ballhandler scorers off the P&R to chart, but the Bulls do have two of the most frequent shooters off the P&R in Derozan #13 and White #19. I also threw Ayo's eFG% for comparison, but he doesn't have enough volume to be compared to the other players on this list.
Initially it looks like Derozan isn't that great, but Derozan is an extreme outlier in terms of drawing shooting fouls, he has a higher rate than anyone on this list and more than double the rate of some of the other players. When the points from drawn shooting fouls is thrown in, he's better than most on the list.
Overall, whether Derozan stays or goes in the summer the Bulls have very promising young ballhandlers.
However the other end of the P&R is quite literally the worst in the league and at his age Vuc is only likely to get worse, unlike Coby & Ayo who will likely get better.
What compounds the problem is that we've chosen to utilize our league worst roll man at an insane rate. We're in a situation where we take what we are the worst at, and do it more than any other team in the league. It's unfortunate because we've had some huge improvements from Coby, Ayo, and Caruso so one would expect a much better offense this year. But it all nets out to this team scoring less than last year's team (111 ppg vs 113 ppg) with almost the same offensive rating.
The logical moves for next season would be to keep our ballhandling core, and completely overhaul our big man situation.