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Playoff Matchups

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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#21 » by Marko_MFFL » Fri Mar 22, 2024 10:22 pm

StoneIsland wrote:Everything changes if that Ingram injury is serious and by the looks, it seems that it is serious.

He will miss at least 2 weeks, but he will be ready for the playoffs.
Pelicans schedule: @Heat, @Pistons, OKC, Bucks, Celtics, Suns, Magic, Spurs, @Suns, Blazers.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#22 » by ozwizard8 » Mon Mar 25, 2024 3:09 pm

Marko_MFFL wrote:
StoneIsland wrote:Everything changes if that Ingram injury is serious and by the looks, it seems that it is serious.

He will miss at least 2 weeks, but he will be ready for the playoffs.
Pelicans schedule: @Heat, @Pistons, OKC, Bucks, Celtics, Suns, Magic, Spurs, @Suns, Blazers.

Brutal stretch with OKC-Bucks-Celtics-Suns-Magic.

Mavs-Suns have a solid chance to get that 5th seed.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#23 » by ozwizard8 » Mon Mar 25, 2024 3:13 pm

daoneandonly wrote:Houston is all of a sudden pretty good. I really hope we can avoid the play in at all costs. Such a stupid idea and i dont want to fight it out with lebron and/or steph in a pressure situation.

Rockets had a pretty easy stretch.
Playing multiple times with Blazers, Wizards, Jazz, Spurs and getting injury-riddled Cavs were the main parts of the stretch. They'll most probably win their next Blazers and Jazz game easily too. Very favorable stretch where you win-win-win and be happier, dont get tired out too much.
Mavs will stop them though!
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#24 » by gottamakeit » Wed Mar 27, 2024 3:05 pm

I think it would be wise to ramp up OMax's minutes especially in garbage time. I believe his defense could become extremely valuable to this team as we are short on big wing defenders. I think he has the wingspan/heft to play the 4.

Maxi Kleber is tested, he has composure and bball IQ, but has lost his athletic abilities. He can no longer guard perimeter players.

Here is where OMax comes in. I think with enough experience he could be a major contributor to this team in replacing what we've lost in Maxi and DFS. I don't think its the 3-ball holding him back, its the decision making and that only comes with experience.

Maybe he's still a season away. But i think we need to test his abilities (before the year is out) to make sure we're not squandering them.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#25 » by 41Dirk41 » Wed Mar 27, 2024 3:23 pm

gottamakeit wrote:I think it would be wise to ramp up OMax's minutes especially in garbage time. I believe his defense could become extremely valuable to this team as we are short on big wing defenders. I think he has the wingspan/heft to play the 4.

Maxi Kleber is tested, he has composure and bball IQ, but has lost his athletic abilities. He can no longer guard perimeter players.

Here is where OMax comes in. I think with enough experience he could be a major contributor to this team in replacing what we've lost in Maxi and DFS. I don't think its the 3-ball holding him back, its the decision making and that only comes with experience.

Maybe he's still a season away. But i think we need to test his abilities (before the year is out) to make sure we're not squandering them.


No need to hurry with him, next season he will play more minutes if he will deserve it.

This rotations are working so Omax has the time to grow up.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#26 » by dirkules_41 » Wed Mar 27, 2024 7:30 pm

gottamakeit wrote:I think it would be wise to ramp up OMax's minutes especially in garbage time. I believe his defense could become extremely valuable to this team as we are short on big wing defenders. I think he has the wingspan/heft to play the 4.

Maxi Kleber is tested, he has composure and bball IQ, but has lost his athletic abilities. He can no longer guard perimeter players.

Here is where OMax comes in. I think with enough experience he could be a major contributor to this team in replacing what we've lost in Maxi and DFS. I don't think its the 3-ball holding him back, its the decision making and that only comes with experience.

Maybe he's still a season away. But i think we need to test his abilities (before the year is out) to make sure we're not squandering them.

He´s not even with the team on this trip so I don´t see any of that happening before next season really. A full summer of NBA level workout, summer league and training camp should hopefully bring him closer to the active rotation for next season, the promise is there.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#27 » by daoneandonly » Wed Mar 27, 2024 9:40 pm

41Dirk41 wrote:
gottamakeit wrote:I think it would be wise to ramp up OMax's minutes especially in garbage time. I believe his defense could become extremely valuable to this team as we are short on big wing defenders. I think he has the wingspan/heft to play the 4.

Maxi Kleber is tested, he has composure and bball IQ, but has lost his athletic abilities. He can no longer guard perimeter players.

Here is where OMax comes in. I think with enough experience he could be a major contributor to this team in replacing what we've lost in Maxi and DFS. I don't think its the 3-ball holding him back, its the decision making and that only comes with experience.

Maybe he's still a season away. But i think we need to test his abilities (before the year is out) to make sure we're not squandering them.


No need to hurry with him, next season he will play more minutes if he will deserve it.

This rotations are working so Omax has the time to grow up.


Yea but we do desperately need wing play. When thj is off he's brutal out there. Kidd won't play Hardy, and Exum is too injury prone to be relied upon
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#28 » by ChipotleWest » Wed Mar 27, 2024 10:10 pm

ozwizard8 wrote:
Marko_MFFL wrote:
StoneIsland wrote:Everything changes if that Ingram injury is serious and by the looks, it seems that it is serious.

He will miss at least 2 weeks, but he will be ready for the playoffs.
Pelicans schedule: @Heat, @Pistons, OKC, Bucks, Celtics, Suns, Magic, Spurs, @Suns, Blazers.

Brutal stretch with OKC-Bucks-Celtics-Suns-Magic.

Mavs-Suns have a solid chance to get that 5th seed.


Guess you haven't seen Suns schedule, zero easy games left.

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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#29 » by ozwizard8 » Thu Mar 28, 2024 10:03 am

ChipotleWest wrote:
ozwizard8 wrote:
Marko_MFFL wrote:He will miss at least 2 weeks, but he will be ready for the playoffs.
Pelicans schedule: @Heat, @Pistons, OKC, Bucks, Celtics, Suns, Magic, Spurs, @Suns, Blazers.

Brutal stretch with OKC-Bucks-Celtics-Suns-Magic.

Mavs-Suns have a solid chance to get that 5th seed.


Guess you haven't seen Suns schedule, zero easy games left.

Image

Suns doesn't have as easy schedule as Mavs but I respect that team more than Kings, Pelicans with no Ingram.
They beat Nuggets last night for instance.

Overall, I think Mavs have a solid chance to finish above play-ins, and a chance for 4th seed. Though I dont know if we'd like to play with Nuggets in 2nd round.

I'd support Suns to steal some games from Clippers and Pelicans for sure.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#30 » by ozwizard8 » Thu Mar 28, 2024 10:07 am

In the last games, some teams may want to drop from 4th-5th seed to avoid tough Mavs, Clippers matchups and then playing Denver in 2nd round. I'd rather play OKC or Wolves than Clippers/Suns, Denver.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#31 » by ozwizard8 » Wed Apr 10, 2024 1:02 pm

Fewer games left, and the Mavs pretty much secured the top 6, maybe even 5th already.

Playing the Clippers in the first round will be tiresome. Last year PHX won over them but PG was injured and later Kawhi too.
I don't believe they can stay healthy for 4 rounds but the first round, they can put up a fight...

I am fine with playing the Clippers but more concerned about a potential WCSF matchup with Nuggets. Wolves-Nuggets-OKC are still so close. If Denver is not 1st seed then Mavs should keep 5th seed. Looking at Clippers schedule, I think they most likely secured the 4th.

Mavs may want to drop to the 6th. We would need to lose at least two probably three games. So I think we should rest our starters especially Luka-Kyrie against Miami. Losing against Miami would keep our options open.

If Nuggets win over Wolves to get the 1st seed, then we can rest our starters and lose against Detroit and OKC.
If Wolves win over Nuggets, then let's go for a win while resting some.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#32 » by tleikheen » Thu Apr 11, 2024 5:31 pm

Mavs and Nuggets are on a collision course .......Last night in winning time Denver played Watson and Braun w/ Jokic,Murray and MPJ instead of AG & KCP. They looked faster . I dont think this is for any other team but the Mavs.

We know Jokic and Luka are going to be unstoppable so I think 2 guys will be key factors on how this series will go.

If MPJ is consistent on his 3 pt shooting and playing a lot of minutes Denver probably wins another Championship.
If he has a slump like last yrs playoffs ,Mavs can beat them ..... IF ......

Kyrie has a monster series. Who can guard Kyrie on the Nuggets?

I think they'res 3 teams coming down the stretch looking like Champion contenders Denver and Boston and the spoiler Dallas.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#33 » by 41Dirk41 » Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:02 am

Is Kawhi really hurt or is just smokescreen???

Anyway if our role players will make the 3s i'm pretty confident on this match up. Luka needs revenge.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#34 » by Mavrelous » Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:12 am

41Dirk41 wrote:Is Kawhi really hurt or is just smokescreen???

Anyway if our role players will make the 3s i'm pretty confident on this match up. Luka needs revenge.

Had an inflammation on his knee and they shut him down, seems like he should be good to go.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#35 » by ozwizard8 » Sat Apr 13, 2024 6:20 am

Clippers and Kawhi probably have 0-10 healthy games left. The problem is facing them in 1st round if Kawhi plays healthy for 7 games. So it’ll be tough matchup but very much winnable now with Gafford and hopefully Lively if he decides to play after the tragedy.


Thank god that Denver lost a game. I assume they didnt want to play with Lakers/Warriors and then Mavs. This is great news for Mavs.

If we lose to OKC Thunder we basically get a WCSF against Thunder or play against play-in winner.
Play-in winner may have legs to beat OKC but they’d be tired coming to WCSF and Mavs would have home court in that hypothetical series.

Clippers - OKC or play-in winner - Denver
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#36 » by ozwizard8 » Mon Apr 29, 2024 5:30 am

I f'in knew it. F'in Clippers, Ty Lue, and 3-4 HOFers + lots of wing players/goons in 1st round.

I still believe we'll win in 6, but its already so taxing. OKC is likely done with their series. Luka looks injury riddled. Kyrie is giving everything which usually results in injuries after a series.

Whoever wins this series, will come out from attrition war. It is almost impossible for the Clippers to make it to the Finals with their older players and injuries. NBA matching up Mavs-Clippers is just making sure neither team advances too much.

Lakers got away from a swept but it looks like they'd rather finish 8th in play-ins then losing in 1st round playoffs against Denver.
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Re: Playoff Matchups 

Post#37 » by dygaction » Today 8:04 pm

ozwizard8 wrote:This year West is strong and chaotic for seeding. Mavs would not miss playoffs and play-ins like last year, but we still don't know if we can get out of play-ins and take 5th, 6th seed.
This topic is for discussing Western Conference playoff matchups for 1st round, 2nd round or WCF.

Matchups I like for playoffs:
- Wolves: Luka-Kyrie with Maxi occasionally playing at 5, can take Gobert out. Conley is a small guard to be abused by Luka or Kyrie. Edwards is not a great scorer, not a good shooter. If KAT is healthy, it can take 6-7 games but if he's not 100%, I think Mavs can beat Wolves 4-1.

- Kings: This is a much more of a regular-season team than a playoff team. It wouldn't be easy to stop them and I expect to lose two game out of first four games. However, as we adjust in the series and Luka-Kidd take some of other teams rotation players out, it should be for Mavs to win. 4-2

- Pelicans: I mean we lost some games to them this season but they were mostly before we had Gafford-Lively together. Maxi was coming out from injury at the time, and now he is better defensively. Both Zion and JV can be taken advantage of in playoff time by Luka and Kyrie. PJ can make sure Ingram doesn't go crazy, hold him to 20 ppg. Luka can win this series as he'd dominate the clutch moments. 4-1

- Thunder: I am really not amazed by OKC Thunder this season. I watched their game live as well. When things go wrong, they dont seem to have much players to put out a character. They mostly rely on coach's plays and refs whistles to keep them in the game. SGA will probably keep getting calls but I am not sure for the rotation players. Some of them will evade playoffs. Luka can bully ball even against their big men. 4-2.

Matchups I do not like:
- Clippers: This is an obvious one as they have f'in too many great forwards. Kawhi-PG can easily dominate PJ-Green. Harden can definitely match Kyrie's offensive production and even more. We have Luka so we can win against a healthy LA Clippers but it will be taxing on our players. Even against much younger Luka team, we got 4-2, 4-3 losses which were close. Now with Gafford and Lively, I'd put Mavs as the favorite to win 4-3. But I'd rather see banged-up Clippers in semifinals or WCF. Because in other years, they consumed their health/energy against us and they lost in the next rounds due to injuries.

- Suns: Mavs can win but its hard to bet against KD team especially in the first round. If he's healthy, they have Booker-Beal to abuse our perimeter issues, abuse Kyrie and tire Luka. Bucks won a championship thanks to KD's foot was on the line. So its hard to play against him. Normally, I'd say Nurkic is an easy target but having KD around lurking for blocks, or him playing at 5 for clutch minutes would be challenging. Luckily, we wouldn't see them in first round. However, we may play a play-in game which would be a coin toss. 4-3 in playoffs.

- Nuggets: We just won a game against Jokic but I cant see us winning 4 games in a series against a healthy and focused Denver. Kidd is not a bad coach for playoff adjustments, but our team doesn't have a defensive identity. We're too brand new. Gordon-MPJ have been playing with Joker for many years. For last 6-7 years playoffs, Murray has been more clutch than almost anyone in the league when he is healthy. KCP-MPJ-Gordon and Brown-Watson. They'll gear up on defense in playoffs and they're f'in disciplined to execute on both sides for playoffs. 2-4

+ Wolves, Kings, Thunder, Pelicans
- Denver, Clippers, Suns, GSW

Bonus: A play-in game against GSW or LAL would be dangerous. Both teams are rating-machines and they can get heavily favorable calls in playoffs. Especially GSW! Last year they played 8v5 against Kings. When refs let Draymond pull, push, and hit on the wrist of other players then GSW suddenly becomes a good playoff team with solid defense. And if its a close game Curry can definitely hit a winner. It'd be 50%-50%. So please avoid play-ins!!


Spot on analysis. It is really all about match up. TWolves were built to beat Nuggets, but matched not very well with Mavs.
Clippers with a healthy Kawhi would have been the biggest trouble for Mavs. Zubac was the best center to give Mavs troubles in the playoffs; Thunders really don't have a clear and consistent second to stand next to SGA, yet; TWolves Gobert's role is significantly reduced by Mavs, Edwards and Towns have been contained quite well, and their best players have been McDaniels and Reid in the last two games.

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