Post Draft Lottery board update:
My main draft principles:
* Production & value impact : BPM, RAPM, WS/48
* Efficiency: TS%
* Feel: AST/TO + efficiency
* Hustle, Impact: (oreb rate, stl rate, block rate)
* Outlier physical traits *
* Outlier feel for the game *
* Age *
NOTES:
- Aim of my big board: To reflect the VORP over the prospects careers
- I prefer to have a concrete grading system rather than 'I just think player x is better than player y', things tend to get messy after the first few guys in redrafts.
- Differences within tiers are not notable at this stage, a lot depends on the draft fit
- I do think at least 1 of the wings I have in tier 5 (Knecht, Risacher, Furphy, Williams, Buzelis) will hit above my opinion, but I have no idea who lol
- Topic's recent injury spell and just general shakiness/not playing his last few months has caused me to drop him down a tier due to lack of confidence. If he loses his burst via injury he becomes a less enticing prospect.
Tier 3.5 - [fringe All star potential prospect] 2+ DPM peak potential
1. Donovan Clingan
2. Zach Edey
3. Reed Sheppard
4. Kyle Filipowski
Tier 4 - [starters/impact players]1+ DPM peak potential
5. Alex Sarr
6. Jared McCain
7. Nikola Topic
8. Rob Dillingham
9. DaRon Holmes II
10. Devin Carter
11. Ron Holland
Tier 5 - [rotation guys/guys that stick around the league] + to neutral DPM peak potential
12. Dalton Knecht
13. Matas Buzelis
14. Zac Risacher
15. Johnny Furphy
16. Cody Williams
17. Tyler Smith
18. Stephon Castle
19. Kel’el Ware
[Tier 6 - high variance guys]
20. Isaiah Collier
21. Carlton Carrington
22. Jamal Shead
23. Ja’Kobe Walter
24. Baylor Scheierman
25 Jonathan Mogbo
[Fringe guys]
26. Payton Sandfort
27. Alex Karaban
28. KJ Simpson
29. Tyler Kolek
30. Mark Sears
My big board at this point. As for Pistons specific, if we can come away with any of the top 4, I'll be happy.
Not sure why there isn't more buzz about Filipowski, especially to Detroit. In my opinion, there are some misconceptions about him, mainly that he is positionally locked as a 5 with bad rim protection. I don't see it that way. I see him as more of a jumbo wing who can slide up if needed, ala Lauri. He has elite coordination, dexterity and fluidity for a 6'11 guy and can actually dribble/pass/shoot. He's very talented, elite production + elite impact and so versatile offensively. He has a lot of paths to being a positive NBA player.
He should absolutely be in the discussion for this pick, especially given, from what we've heard, it doesn't seem like team is particularly interested in adding another raw/teenage project to its core to develop.
DaRon Holmes II is the absolute sleeper pick, he should be way higher than he's currently ranked, so underrated.