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Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem

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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#741 » by greg4012 » Sun May 5, 2024 6:48 pm

IceColdCubano wrote:
greg4012 wrote:
IceColdCubano wrote:
I didn't say Bam was a worse defender, had to reread my comment to make sure. Its about a build type, Bam is absolutely tier 1 and best at switching type on defense at all levels in the game of basketball however he does these things because of his speed which is a benefit of being on the smaller side, there are SF playing the game the same size as Bam. Gobert plays defense different that fits that team, or fits playing against bigger teams whom cannot control the paint. Bam makes things difficult for other center or bigger players because he is a very smart defender he however does not control the paint the way Gobert does or Wemby does, where players literally rather shoot from the perimeter rather than go inside which then allows Minies perimeter defenders do their thing and funnel the offensive player to a deadball or block shot.

Right now championships will run through Nuggets Jokic as long as that team is healthy. Our team will if healthy and if Jimmy is playing like a top 5 player good enough to beat 25 out of 30 teams in the NBA that we can match up with. The problem right now is that Jimmy is declining and will not be able to turn that switch as often as before plus us lacking size along with scoring we will not beat those Archetype teams.


Just providing clarity to some underlying points that may be off. Part of the deficiency in the Mitchell-Gobert build type was that despite the fact that they could generate a top 10 regular season defense, Gobert's defensive impact would drop significantly in postseason play. Less concern with Bam on that front.

Nonetheless, the more 2-way players that can accompany Mitchell plus defensive superstar big, the better the team will be.

Lumbering paint protecting centers don't control the paint as well in the playoff game EVER during modern NBA playoff bball. That's the whole rub and the underlying point. They get pulled out more as the game becomes even more of a space game and uncoordinated bigs are in more positions to give up advantage.

Just look at Gobert's precipitous drop in DRTG from regular season to playoffs relative to his own teammates over the course of his career. It's clearly consistent.

Bam also actually was a better paint deterrent than Gobert this season:

Read on Twitter


Contesting and blocking shots at the rim gets more attention. Not letting teams get into the paint is more impactful.


I've already looked at this before, while this may have been true in the past its not anymore at least this year Gobert has been quiet successful at controlling the paint, and not pulled like you state above in meaningful minutes to close games. We need to stop running with the old adage there that gets regurgitated over and over. Players improve and defensive adjustments can be made to facilitate their weaknesses, we do it all the time here to help our weaker defenders. I would garner that people need to at some point stop looking at career values and look at what the player is today and represents as of this season.

Theres also far more to size, than just paint defense, were talking rebounding and allowing your other players to have a wider field of control since you can cover that much more space. One thing can't be looked at linearly, we must look at all the positives size provides, outside of singularly stats.


And we're talking 1 game into the 2nd round. Minny has looked great so far. Phoenix was a mess and game 1 against DEN was a great success. Gobert is also having to cover the least ground of his career due to the personnel around him. ZERO pushback from me on that front. I haven't seen enough to be convinced that lumbering big men that are average or worse in space don't lose substantial efficacy in the most competitive parts of playoff basketball.

You're speaking narrative above while I've pointed to objective information. I welcome any objective data points to learn from and get better informed. That's one of the things I most value about this board.

In terms of covering more space--I agree that's super valuable. Bam has paced the NBA 2 seasons in a row in covering the most miles on the court per game over the course of the seasons. Jokic was actually one of the tops from this past season if you can believe it.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#742 » by greg4012 » Sun May 5, 2024 6:53 pm

3ammy3uck3ts wrote:
IceColdCubano wrote:
greg4012 wrote:
Just providing clarity to some underlying points that may be off. Part of the deficiency in the Mitchell-Gobert build type was that despite the fact that they could generate a top 10 regular season defense, Gobert's defensive impact would drop significantly in postseason play. Less concern with Bam on that front.

Nonetheless, the more 2-way players that can accompany Mitchell plus defensive superstar big, the better the team will be.

Lumbering paint protecting centers don't control the paint as well in the playoff game EVER during modern NBA playoff bball. That's the whole rub and the underlying point. They get pulled out more as the game becomes even more of a space game and uncoordinated bigs are in more positions to give up advantage.

Just look at Gobert's precipitous drop in DRTG from regular season to playoffs relative to his own teammates over the course of his career. It's clearly consistent.

Bam also actually was a better paint deterrent than Gobert this season:

Read on Twitter


Contesting and blocking shots at the rim gets more attention. Not letting teams get into the paint is more impactful.


I've already looked at this before, while this may have been true in the past its not anymore at least this year Gobert has been quiet successful at controlling the paint, and not pulled like you state above in meaningful minutes to close games. We need to stop running with the old adage there that gets regurgitated over and over. Players improve and defensive adjustments can be made to facilitate their weaknesses, we do it all the time here to help our weaker defenders. I would garner that people need to at some point stop looking at career values and look at what the player is today and represents as of this season.

Theres also far more to size, than just paint defense, were talking rebounding and allowing your other players to have a wider field of control since you can cover that much more space. One thing can't be looked at linearly, we must look at all the positives size provides, outside of singularly stats.



Those stats are from this season


And it was just last season when Gobert went from having the top DRTG on his team in the regular season to being 5th or 6th on his own team in playoff bball.

THis is a better Minny team top to bottom with defense at every position and an ascending Edwards. Malone and Jokic have a lot more to contend with this go around. Let's see if they can put Minny in compromising positions.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#743 » by MettaWorldPanda » Sun May 5, 2024 7:05 pm

Enso wrote:I think if we get Herro off the team without getting fleeced asset or salary cap wise and just get a piece back that fits better the fan base will be happy. Doesn’t have to even be a huge needle moving piece as long as it’s just a better fitting role player.

I think that’s a realistic move we can do. What do you guys think ?

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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#744 » by HeatFan_NC » Sun May 5, 2024 7:16 pm

Where's the Pat Riley from 1995 that was able to get the likes of Zo, Tim Hardaway, Mashburn and Majerle? Come on, Riles! Let's do something big this offseason
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#745 » by Johnny Fontane » Sun May 5, 2024 7:21 pm

HeatFan_NC wrote:Where's the Pat Riley from 1995 that was able to get the likes of Zo, Tim Hardaway, Mashburn and Majerle? Come on, Riles! Let's do something big this offseason


It’s a new age. This franchise has been obsessed with sustainability to counter that the league has completely abandoned building powerhouses through free agency
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#746 » by greg4012 » Sun May 5, 2024 7:26 pm

Sadly we're in full offseason mode on here already. Priority #1 is pursuit of a real offensive upgrade via a splash trade. With that in mind, it's always worth monitoring the potential vet min options that may be available to fill out any roster holes after the splash trade(s). Here's a first look at some names that may hopefully be in the vet min range:

Delon Wright (PG/SG) (bring him back)
Lonnie Walker (SG/SF) (3&D?)
Dennis Smith (PG) (defense)
Simone Fontecchio (SF) (3 pt stroker) (heat killer)
Evan Fournier (SG/SF) (3&D) (heat killer - may be a good reclamation project)
Dario Saric (PF) (3 and utility)
Reggie Bullock (SG/SF) (3&D) (old)
Doug McDermott (SF/PF) (3 pt specialist) (old)
Trendon Watford (PF)
Wesley Matthews (SG/SF) (3&D) (old as ****)
Mason Plumlee (C)
Spencer Dinwiddie (SG/PG) (3 & ballhandling)
Harry Giles (PF/C)
Jae Crowder (PF/SF) (old)
Malik Beasley (SG) (shooter)
Kyle Anderson (PF) (reclamation 3&D?)
Monte Morris (PG)
Gordon Hayward (forward) (old)
Nic Batum (SF/PF) (3&D) (old) (heat killer)
Tobias Harris (PF/SF)
Cam Payne (PG)
Royce O'Neale (PF/SF) (prob will get more $)
Kris Dunn (PG) (defense)

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/39854744/nba-free-agents-team-team-lists-2024-2025
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#747 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Sun May 5, 2024 7:54 pm

greg4012 wrote:
3ammy3uck3ts wrote:
IceColdCubano wrote:
I've already looked at this before, while this may have been true in the past its not anymore at least this year Gobert has been quiet successful at controlling the paint, and not pulled like you state above in meaningful minutes to close games. We need to stop running with the old adage there that gets regurgitated over and over. Players improve and defensive adjustments can be made to facilitate their weaknesses, we do it all the time here to help our weaker defenders. I would garner that people need to at some point stop looking at career values and look at what the player is today and represents as of this season.

Theres also far more to size, than just paint defense, were talking rebounding and allowing your other players to have a wider field of control since you can cover that much more space. One thing can't be looked at linearly, we must look at all the positives size provides, outside of singularly stats.



Those stats are from this season


And it was just last season when Gobert went from having the top DRTG on his team in the regular season to being 5th or 6th on his own team in playoff bball.

THis is a better Minny team top to bottom with defense at every position and an ascending Edwards. Malone and Jokic have a lot more to contend with this go around. Let's see if they can put Minny in compromising positions.


Yep Bam is quite easily the best defender in the league and doesn’t have near the same amount of help on that end as Gobert
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#748 » by SA37 » Sun May 5, 2024 7:58 pm

Miles Bridges is a guy Miami might be able to get in a S&T. Charlotte also may be open to moving Grant Williams, who is 100% a Miami Heat type player.

Similarly, Miami could look to complete a S&T for DeRozan, although he is about to be 35.

PJ Tucker, Jae Crowder, and Robert Covington are all Heat-type guys who will be available for the minimum.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#749 » by SA37 » Sun May 5, 2024 7:59 pm

greg4012 wrote:Sadly we're in full offseason mode on here already. Priority #1 is pursuit of a real offensive upgrade via a splash trade. With that in mind, it's always worth monitoring the potential vet min options that may be available to fill out any roster holes after the splash trade(s). Here's a first look at some names that may hopefully be in the vet min range:

Delon Wright (PG/SG) (bring him back)
Lonnie Walker (SG/SF) (3&D?)
Dennis Smith (PG) (defense)
Simone Fontecchio (SF) (3 pt stroker) (heat killer)
Evan Fournier (SG/SF) (3&D) (heat killer - may be a good reclamation project)
Dario Saric (PF) (3 and utility)
Reggie Bullock (SG/SF) (3&D) (old)
Doug McDermott (SF/PF) (3 pt specialist) (old)
Trendon Watford (PF)
Wesley Matthews (SG/SF) (3&D) (old as ****)
Mason Plumlee (C)
Spencer Dinwiddie (SG/PG) (3 & ballhandling)
Harry Giles (PF/C)
Jae Crowder (PF/SF) (old)
Malik Beasley (SG) (shooter)
Kyle Anderson (PF) (reclamation 3&D?)
Monte Morris (PG)
Gordon Hayward (forward) (old)
Nic Batum (SF/PF) (3&D) (old) (heat killer)
Tobias Harris (PF/SF)
Cam Payne (PG)
Royce O'Neale (PF/SF) (prob will get more $)
Kris Dunn (PG) (defense)

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/39854744/nba-free-agents-team-team-lists-2024-2025


Fournier, Crowder, Hayward see, like the most gettable.

Trade Herro for Miles Bridges (S&T).

Trade Caleb Martin (S&T) for G Williams.

Sign Hayward or Fournier. Bring back Bryant, Love, and D Wright.

Bam / Bryant
Williams / Jovic / Love
Bridges / JJJ
Butler / Robinson / Hayward or Fournier
Rozier / D Wright / J Richardson
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#750 » by SA37 » Sun May 5, 2024 8:54 pm

MettaWorldPanda wrote:
Enso wrote:I think if we get Herro off the team without getting fleeced asset or salary cap wise and just get a piece back that fits better the fan base will be happy. Doesn’t have to even be a huge needle moving piece as long as it’s just a better fitting role player.

I think that’s a realistic move we can do. What do you guys think ?

Brandon Ingram


Am I the only one who just isn't really enthralled by Brandon Ingram?
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#751 » by greg4012 » Sun May 5, 2024 9:09 pm

SA37 wrote:
MettaWorldPanda wrote:
Enso wrote:I think if we get Herro off the team without getting fleeced asset or salary cap wise and just get a piece back that fits better the fan base will be happy. Doesn’t have to even be a huge needle moving piece as long as it’s just a better fitting role player.

I think that’s a realistic move we can do. What do you guys think ?

Brandon Ingram


Am I the only one who just isn't really enthralled by Brandon Ingram?


No there are plenty. And I don't think most are pretending his warts don't exist. The only one that really concerns me is his durability. (and it does concern me). But, at least he has youth on his side in that regard.

I haven't really seen anyone on here championing an Ingram trade as a home run. It def won't be the same thing as netting any of the dreams of the past few seasons, like Durant, Lillard, Mitchell, etc.

Given Miami's limited trade assets, I like the idea of adding Ingram for the right price--and that right price is Herro (or Rozier) plus Duncan and 1 (maaaayyybbbeeee 2) FRPs (keeping both Jovic and Jaquez).

Versatile forwards with Ingram's length and scoring package aren't often available as distressed assets in their 20s. I think (and hope) Ingram playing injured in a bad situation in the playoffs is warping his value some. Locking in a future frontcourt of Ingram-Jovic-Bam is a nice foundation upon which to build and also take a shot at competing again in Jimmy's window.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#752 » by SA37 » Sun May 5, 2024 9:30 pm

greg4012 wrote:
SA37 wrote:
MettaWorldPanda wrote:Brandon Ingram


Am I the only one who just isn't really enthralled by Brandon Ingram?


No there are plenty. And I don't think most are pretending his warts don't exist. The only one that really concerns me is his durability. (and it does concern me). But, at least he has youth on his side in that regard.

I haven't really seen anyone on here championing an Ingram trade as a home run. It def won't be the same thing as netting any of the dreams of the past few seasons, like Durant, Lillard, Mitchell, etc.

Given Miami's limited trade assets, I like the idea of adding Ingram for the right price--and that right price is Herro (or Rozier) plus Duncan and 1 (maaaayyybbbeeee 2) FRPs (keeping both Jovic and Jaquez).

Versatile forwards with Ingram's length and scoring package aren't often available as distressed assets in their 20s. I think (and hope) Ingram playing injured in a bad situation in the playoffs is warping his value some. Locking in a future frontcourt of Ingram-Jovic-Bam is a nice foundation upon which to build and also take a shot at competing again in Jimmy's window.


I dunno. I'd rather have DeRozan for 2-3 years than a (very?) poor man's Carmelo Anthony. I don't know that Ingram is better (or more expensive in the trade market) than Miles Bridges or Kyle Kuzma, both of whom make or are likely to make significantly less than Ingram.

In any case, I do agree Miami has limited trade assets, so Ingram may be the best "bang for the buck" Miami can get given what it has to offer.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#753 » by MettaWorldPanda » Sun May 5, 2024 9:35 pm

greg4012 wrote:
SA37 wrote:
MettaWorldPanda wrote:Brandon Ingram


Am I the only one who just isn't really enthralled by Brandon Ingram?


No there are plenty. And I don't think most are pretending his warts don't exist. The only one that really concerns me is his durability. (and it does concern me). But, at least he has youth on his side in that regard.

I haven't really seen anyone on here championing an Ingram trade as a home run. It def won't be the same thing as netting any of the dreams of the past few seasons, like Durant, Lillard, Mitchell, etc.

Given Miami's limited trade assets, I like the idea of adding Ingram for the right price--and that right price is Herro (or Rozier) plus Duncan and 1 (maaaayyybbbeeee 2) FRPs (keeping both Jovic and Jaquez).

Versatile forwards with Ingram's length and scoring package aren't often available as distressed assets in their 20s. I think (and hope) Ingram playing injured in a bad situation in the playoffs is warping his value some. Locking in a future frontcourt of Ingram-Jovic-Bam is a nice foundation upon which to build and also take a shot at competing again in Jimmy's window.

Perfectly said.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#754 » by greg4012 » Sun May 5, 2024 9:44 pm

SA37 wrote:
greg4012 wrote:
SA37 wrote:
Am I the only one who just isn't really enthralled by Brandon Ingram?


No there are plenty. And I don't think most are pretending his warts don't exist. The only one that really concerns me is his durability. (and it does concern me). But, at least he has youth on his side in that regard.

I haven't really seen anyone on here championing an Ingram trade as a home run. It def won't be the same thing as netting any of the dreams of the past few seasons, like Durant, Lillard, Mitchell, etc.

Given Miami's limited trade assets, I like the idea of adding Ingram for the right price--and that right price is Herro (or Rozier) plus Duncan and 1 (maaaayyybbbeeee 2) FRPs (keeping both Jovic and Jaquez).

Versatile forwards with Ingram's length and scoring package aren't often available as distressed assets in their 20s. I think (and hope) Ingram playing injured in a bad situation in the playoffs is warping his value some. Locking in a future frontcourt of Ingram-Jovic-Bam is a nice foundation upon which to build and also take a shot at competing again in Jimmy's window.


I dunno. I'd rather have DeRozan for 2-3 years than a (very?) poor man's Carmelo Anthony. I don't know that Ingram is better (or more expensive in the trade market) than Miles Bridges or Kyle Kuzma, both of whom make or are likely to make significantly less than Ingram.

In any case, I do agree Miami has limited trade assets, so Ingram may be the best "bang for the buck" Miami can get given what it has to offer.


I get it.

Demar and Ingram are actually both better playmakers than Carmelo ever really proved to be throughout his career (Carmelo effectively never was a plus A/TO ratio guy throughout his career--both DeRozan and Ingram are pushing 2:1). When the top scorer can't create for others it makes it a trickier proposition to validate high usage serving team success.

I like Ingram over Demar mostly due to age and where on the court he scores. Ingram can give us a guy that is another strong piece that fits with Bam beyond a 1-2 year window. And with Bam and Jimmy in this 1-2 year window, a more willing 3 point shooter in the lineup becomes important.

I see a Spo-coached Ingram having his shot distribution back around 1/3 3PA like he was in 2020 and 2021.

What I like about how all of the above names mentioned fit in with this Heat core is they can get an iso bucket--which is what playoff ball often comes down to.

Derozan would be an intriguing stopgap option for even less assets (or at least it better be) to serve just the Jimmy window.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#755 » by DayofMourning » Sun May 5, 2024 9:46 pm

Nance, Dyson, Trey and 17th pick for Herro works financially.

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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#756 » by greg4012 » Sun May 5, 2024 9:47 pm

Maybe it's just bias against Kuzma, but I get the sense buying Kuzma now is buying high. Whereas buying Ingram now is buying low.

I think Ingram has flashed more sustainable and reliable ways to score within a team dynamic.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#757 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Sun May 5, 2024 9:56 pm

DayofMourning wrote:Nance, Dyson, Trey and 17th pick for Herro works financially.

Do the Pels tell us to go to hells?


Trey >>> Herro tbh
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#758 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Sun May 5, 2024 9:59 pm

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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#759 » by greg4012 » Sun May 5, 2024 10:07 pm

3ammy3uck3ts wrote:
DayofMourning wrote:Nance, Dyson, Trey and 17th pick for Herro works financially.

Do the Pels tell us to go to hells?


Trey >>> Herro tbh


Trey's emergence is part of what is making the Pelicans parting ways with Ingram more feasible. They love him in NO and reports are that they're prioritizing paying him due to his fit with Zion.
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Re: Miami Heat Offseason Thread vol. 1: Post Mortem 

Post#760 » by twix2500 » Sun May 5, 2024 11:27 pm

I have never been the biggest fan of Ingram but I will will not deny the talent. However I find it hard to believe his trade value is as low as many are making it out to be. This is not Ben Simmons.

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