europa wrote:The Bucks are pretty much down to Redd's ability to score and Yi's potential. That's about all they have right now when it comes to the hope for anything great on this team. Maybe Bogut takes a Kaman-esque leap next season or in two years - I'm not ruling that out - but at this point I'm not sure you can pin your team's hopes on that happening.
Yep.
We had Redd as the constant. Bogut, Yi and CV is where all our eggs went after that. Yi we have solid hope for still. Bogut and CV we know where we stand. We got a solid C and good role player out of Bogut. CV is a bench player with variable PT.
We have clearly missed on 1 of the 3, came out above average on another and have high hopes on the 3rd. If he lives up to his potential I like our overall return. 3 young top prospects. 1 all-star, 1 solid starter and a decent bench player. Not too bad if Yi pans out.
We then look at our predetermined role players. Bell, Simmons and Gadz are worthless to this point. Mason is so so and Mo is rock solid. With Harris, poor chemistry, bad luck and a bad decision or 2 has made our group of role players an overall disaster.
To win it all according to 82games you need...
1. A top 5 player or defender.
2. A Top 10 caliber player or Top 10 defender as a sidekick.
3. Make sure one of your players (superstar or sidekick) can defend
I would say that you also need at #4, at least 3 good role players.
So if we look at the Bucks. Lets say that Redd qualifies for #2. Though Redd for T-mac would be more realistic to claim.
It is very unrealistic to think that Yi is going to become a top 5 player, but lets work the angle that 2 top 20 type players plus a defender plus several solid role players = the above formula. Only 5 times can have top 5 player and we are not one of them.
1. Yi (all-star talent)
2. Redd (all-star talent)
3. N/A (top defender)
4. Mo, Bogut, N/A (3 good role players)
So if we feel that Yi and Redd (or a Redd traded asset) can be enough for 1 and 2 we need to add at least a top defender and one more good role player.
For argument sake, what if we moved Redd for Artest?
He hits #1 dead on. He is a very good talent and close enough to a top 5 defender. Rather pair Redd with Artest obviously as we would hit #1 and #2 pretty close and still have Yi's potential to hope for. Could we get Artest for Mo?