GoldenVIKEI am not an insider at all, but I am a senior executive with a Fortune 100 insurance company, so I have seen hundreds of 8-9-10 figure business disputes over my career. As a result I feel like I have a strong sense for how people like Glen Taylor (and A-Rod and Lore for that matter) operate in scenarios like this. Again, this is all speculation, but here's my best guess...
1. There was obviously some kind of clash of egos sometime between the lasagna dinner and Taylor's press release.
2. There's at least some contractual basis for Glen to feel he can cancel the sale. Perhaps it's just the "missed deadline" that everyone is focused on (and which Lore seems adamant they met, so we're clearly talking about a technicality or selective interpretations of an ambiguity in the language), but I'd bet there's a basis (at least in Glen's mind) for Glen's to take the actions he has. More on this later...
3. Glen is probably under a lot of pressure from his LPs (minority co-owners) on this deal because they're taking the same financial bath that he is (selling the asset for around 50% of its arguable value); and keep in mind that these are all likely prominent figures in Glen's world. I.e. not people that Glen wants to let down.
4. I bet Glen and his LPs have tried to extract extra value out of Lore/ARod prior to that press release. I bet he threatened many times something to the effect of, "You know, I gave you a really sweetheart deal based on [insert both contractual and informal promises and aspects of purported initial understanding], and now you've [insert whatever contractual breach technicalities or other purported infractions of their partnership you want to imagine]; and now we both know that the franchise is worth 2x, and I'm taking heat from my LPs over it. Tell ya what, how about we find common ground here. How about I still sell, but at a slightly higher (still "discounted") price? That way you still get your team; you still get a great deal; my LPs get something they can live with; my LPs don't want to murder me; and I still get to sail off in the sunset. How about that? How about an even $2B?"
5. I bet they went around in circles on this a few times, with Lore/ARod thinking it's a bluff and/or bull, and Taylor probably threatening to just cancel the whole contract. As they go around in circles, logic and financial details stay relevant, but the role of the egos get bigger and bigger. Eventually, Glen begins to believe his own story that he can cancel the sale. ARod and Lore increasingly don't want to give an inch out of both animosity, and a sense that they'd win in a contractual dispute/arbitration/suit. They hire a lawfirm to solidify that sense, and embolden their stance of not budging.
6. Eventually Taylor gets frustrated and decides to drop the bomb that he's canceling the sale.
7. We are here.
8. The outcome will be one of the following:
• If there's legit ambiguity in the contract, they'll probably settle by agreeing to increase the sale price by some amount that allows them both to declare victory. I'd guess something like $1.6-$1.9B.
• If the contract is as 'iron clad' as Lore claims, they go to arbitration and Taylor is eventually forced to sell the team--or at least a controlling interest in the team, perhaps at an adjusted price. Arbiters tend to split the baby rather than rule definitively for one side or the other. It's possible that he could take this to court in lieu of or in addition to arbitration (a zillion factors in play there), which would extend the timeline.
• If Lore/ARod were really in material breach of contract; or said something that was clearly an egregious violation of the principles of the agreement, then they may get kicked to the curb and have to just live as minority owners and/or sell their share. Examples of this could include if Glen somehow uncovered plans to move the team out of Minnesota; or something to do with Lore's actual commitment to the team given his other businesses that take up all of his time; a lack of financial resources or financial covenants that would demonstrate an ability to actually operate the team in the future (beyond just paying the purchase price); or an actual material breach of contract.
Not sure I said anything of value there; but if I had to guess we as fans will someday be happy with the outcome. Either ARod/Lore deserve the team and will get it. Or they don't deserve the team and won't get it. Unfortunately this could take many months or years to unfold.