Hot hand thread

[Klomp]

Monte Morris has never missed a shot in a Timberwolves uniform. Definition of hot hand.

[KGdaBom]

Monte Morris has never missed a shot in a Timberwolves uniform. Definition of hot hand.

[KGdaBom]

Ant 3 misses in a row. Cold hand.

[m2002brian]

Ant 3 misses in a row. Cold hand.

His left hand is 1-1

[KGdaBom]

George went 1-4 cold hand then made his next shot.

[KGdaBom]

Conley 1-4 cold hand.

[KGdaBom]

Harden 1-2 since cold hand.

[KGdaBom]

Harden makes his next shot. Cold hand failed as predictor. So far tonight's game hot/cold predictions 0-4 added to the Dallas/OKC games 0-5 hot/cold hand is 0-9 as predictor.

[KGdaBom]

Kawhi 1-3 since hot hand. Prediction failed. 0-5 predictor.

[KGdaBom]

NAW 3-4 hot hand.

[KGdaBom]

Ant makes first shot after cold hand.

[m2002brian]

Ant makes first shot after cold hand.

Left hand is 2 for 2

[KGdaBom]

Ant misses next shot.

[KGdaBom]

Ant makes first shot after cold hand.

Left hand is 2 for 2

If you want to do your own tracking and sort by which hand go for it. I'm having a hard time keeping up now.

[KGdaBom]

I'm going to stop now. If I had placed 10 bets on players with hot hands and cold hands continuing I would have lost all 10 bets. It isn't reliable as a predictor.

[winforlose]

I'm going to stop now. If I had placed 10 bets on players with hot hands and cold hands continuing I would have lost all 10 bets. It isn't reliable as a predictor.

Your model is so flawed I honestly don’t even know what you are following. I have been enjoying the game, rather than trying to track shots after 3 or 4 attempts. You want cold hand example, Karl is 1-5 from deep. Miss 3 hit 1 miss 1 is not a sign of cold hand being bad at prediction, it is the sign of a cold hand. Just like a hot hand can hit 3, miss 1 and hit the next and still be hot. This isn’t rocket science.

[KGdaBom]

I'm going to stop now. If I had placed 10 bets on players with hot hands and cold hands continuing I would have lost all 10 bets. It isn't reliable as a predictor.

Your model is so flawed I honestly don’t even know what you are following. I have been enjoying the game, rather than trying to track shots after 3 or 4 attempts. You want cold hand example, Karl is 1-5 from deep. Miss 3 hit 1 miss 1 is not a sign of cold hand being bad at prediction, it is the sign of a cold hand. Just like a hot hand can hit 3, miss 1 and hit the next and still be hot. This isn’t rocket science.

No flaw to my model. I'm counting all shots. If a player makes 3 out of 4 will they continue to shoot over 50%. No they won't. If they miss 3 out of 4 will they continue to shoot under 50%. No they won't. You actually think you can rely on hot and cold hands to help win games? No you can't.

[KGdaBom]

Happy Easter/Resurrection day. I didn't know where to put this message so what the hell. Put it here.

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