JustBuzzin wrote:
Once again never doubt mother nature.
Just to show you the potential power of mother nature if Yellowstone blows it's going to wipe off most of the United States. Even if some survive it won't be for long with the air pollution. I always live by expect the unexpected.
I'm going to throw my 2 cents in here on YellowStone and this in general.
The popular claim (it erupts every 600,000 years and it's due) is Isn't exactly true because it's not exactly like clockwork. It's much more random. Anyone who understand chaos mathematics understands randomness. The time in between varies.
AND - they never mention this. Yellowstone isn't "due" because there was a large eruption 174,000 years ago - The West Thumb Eruption. Google it if you don't believe me.
So, every 600,000 years - since it erupted 174,000 years ago . . . nothing to worry about, at least from Yellowstone.
The truth is, Yellowstone will erupt again in a big way BUT, it might not happen for a few hundred thousand years, so statistically, we don't have much to worry about.
A Portland tidal wave - in our lifetime - much more likely.
A really big California Earthquake in our lifetime - much more likely.
A really big Yellowstone eruption in our lifetime is a longshot. It might not happen for a couple or few hundred thousand years.
Still, I'm all about being prepared. If you live in a city like NY - keep at least a week of non perishable food that doesn't require cooking to be edible. Keep flashlights and candles in case the flashlight batteries run out.
If you have a car, keep it 3/4 full of gas at all times. The last thing you want, in case of appocalypse, is to have to wait on a 3 mile long line to buy gas from a gas station that might run out of gas in that circumstance or might not be able to put during power outage.
Make a go bag and have a "meeting place" with people you plan to spend the apocalypse with, in case phones are down. I think phones being down is unlikely. Basic things like matches, or flint if you need to make a fire. Warm clothes if it might get cold, sleeping bag is good. Tent. Maybe you won't need it, but if all the hotels are filled up, a warm sleepingbag could save your life. Remember to keep the windows cracked.
So . . . 100%, plan for the worst, and be prepared, but I'm not losing any sleep over Yellowstone. The odds a big Yellowstone burp happens in our lifetimes is about one in a few thousand . . . at least by my estimate. That doesn't mean there won't be a smaller one, and it's worth monitoring especially if you live in the area, but the nation destroying ground-burp. Extreemly unlikely in our lifetime.
Same goes for meteors. The odds that we'll get a city killer, much less a world killer, in our lifetime. Enormously remote.
Far far more likely in our lifetime, would be some kind of massive glacier crashing into the ocean. I'm not sure how big a wave that might make, but day after tomorrow (at least the wave part, not the winter part), might not be too far off from reality, or maybe it would just be another Sandy-like flood. I'm no expert and I'm not sure anyone can predict this with accuracy. but a giant flood splashing into the city seems theoretically possible in our lifetime.
Just my 2 cents. We could make a survival thread if people want.