OGSactownballer wrote:I’m going to give a couple of breakdowns here.
If EVERYTHING runs perfect. That includes:
- virtually no missed games (ie - 75+) for the top. Seven to eight guys on the roster
- winning 85% or more of games against “weaker” or equal squads (games they “should” win)
- winning 75% of the 50/50 games (games decided by 3 points or less)
- carrying AT LEAST a .500 record against top squads (teams predicted to be in th top six in each conference)
They can cap out at 46-48 wins and surprise the heck out of everyone with a playoff level seed of 5/6.
If they play somewhat above expectations and catch some breaks including fall off/tanking by other teams in the West who experience injury issues or just decide to get into the Victor sweepstakes early I’ll say that .500 plus or minus two to three games and will be a lower seed/play-in team (7-10).
If things go south (major injury time missed or season ending to Sabonis/Fox), losses in lots of games they should win or whatever, then it’s 33-35 or much less if it’s early and they tank for the sweepstakes.
Gotta give credit for this. Great work.