I watched this game live, and then watched again every defensive possession when Ayton was on a floor. And here is like it looked like.
1st half:
1:42 – good help defense, but he should recover quicker
3:29 – a llittle bit confused, but good help, should follow an action though
4:14 – good help and 1vs1 defense, should follow a rebound
5:17 – too passive as a rebounder and rim protector
5:52 – great read and transition;
6:15 – great switch after pick, stays with his player to the end, another mistake of Ristic
13:40 – good help, should be more agressive but still solid switch
13:55 – bad transition defense, he should be as fast on D as he’s on transition O
15:30 – Akon’s mistake as rebounder, but Ayton still has tools to be much more aggressive to protect a board
16:35 – very active as help defender
17:59 – hands down, not aggressive enough, bad defensive play
19:10 – much smaller opponent, but still good instincts this time on low post
19:50 – again, good help and recover
24:40 – played too high as help defender
26:50 – no help D
27:28 – normal D, good shot
28:35 – again, should be more active as rim protector, still good recover
28:55 – again, bad transition D, he should be as active in transition defense as in transition offense
29:40 – active hands
2nd half:
34:40 – lost on defense, still able to contest because of his size
35:20 – should be more active as rebounder, still good rim protection
35:35 – bad defense, hands down, silly foul
37:00 – bad help D by Ristic, but this time Ayton beaten too easily
38:20 – great footwork as above mentioned, close to opponent, great block
41:10 – again, because of his movement capable of defending picks on perimeter
41:40 – good switch, but bad behaviour of running transition before the board is protected
42:05 – bad recover here, was there but doesn’t want to contest a shot
52:50 – wanted other players to switch, not active enough
53:28 – very good perimeter D, stayed in front of guard very easily
55:40 – should be more aggressive to protect a board
58:50 – very good flash and recover
59:15 – good help, Arizona’s guard mistake
So my notes after first two games, and based on my knowledge about him as HS player.
On defense:
- he’s more Power Foward than Center, he has amazing footwark to defend on perimeter as for player of his size
- he's lacking motor to protect a rim and protect a board like 7'1'' athletic freak should
- still very good rebounder because of his physical tools, and I think he's still good shot blocker
- very good already in defending pnr, fantastic fit to modern NBA with his movement and footwork
- can switch defenders very easily because of his movement
- bad instincts to run a floor before protecting a board
- lacking fundamentals like almost every 19yo does
On offense:
- great transition O
- very soft touch around a rim
- suprisingly nice spins and right hook
- suprisingly good passing game (f.e. 01:02:00), he will be double teamed all the time so these passes looked very interesting
- Ayton after a game said that Miller wants to push the ball around a rim, so I think he will spend much more time on low post/as a finisher than as mid range/long distance shooter
I decided to make this early breakdown because everytime I watched these prospects I found suprising a fact that some imaginations about players are more valid to observers than what these players really do on a court. That's why people are suprised why Towns is struggling as defensive player in NBA when in facat he was bad as pnr defender in Kentucky, and was very foul prone.
It's very interesting how Ayton will look like in March, at the beginning of a season he seems to be third best bigman available in draft after Davis and Oden in this century (maybe fourth consideering healthy Embiid before a draft). If he becomes great shot blocker, he can step into ''generational talent'' category because he seems to be full package on offense.
I expect him to be ~20-12-2 type of player this season if he plays ~30mpg, and I'm serious right now. You can say about bad opponent or small sample, but in Red & Blue scrimmage, Ayton was defended by Ristic (7ft good senior) and he did whatever he wanted to.