Triple Crown Thread

Illuminati · Post #1 » by **Illuminati** » Sat May 3, 2008 3:43 am

Do you guys bet the event? Can't wait for it.

kiz5 · Post #2 » by **kiz5** » Sat May 3, 2008 6:24 am

That, I do.

Depending on the conditions, I'm most likely going to bet an exacta of Big Brown / Adriano, unless it's a sloppy track tomorrow. If it is, knock out Big Brown, and I'm running with Nakatani and Colonel John.

Edit: Also, I'll be adding Court Vision into my tri. With blinkers on, it can only help him after watching him run his past few races.

If the track is perfect...
Win - #20 Big Brown

Exacta - #20 Big Brown + #15 Adriano

Triacta - #20 Big Brown, with #15 Adriano and #4 Court Vision

Superfecta
1 - #4 Court Vision
2 - #6 Z Fortune
3 - #19 Gayego
4 - #10 Colonel John (and another with the same top 3, but with #1 Cool Coal Man as 4th)

If the track is sloppy...

Win - #10 Colonel John

Exacta - #10 Colonel John boxed with #15 Adriano

Triactor - #10 Colonel John, with #1 Cool Coal Man, and #6 Z Fortune

Superfecta
1 - #10 Colonel John
2 - #14 Monba
3 - #5 Eight Belles
4 - #19 Gayego

Magicfn1 · Post #3 » by **Magicfn1** » Sat May 3, 2008 10:24 pm

One of the horses broke it's 2 front ankles and had to be euthanized on the track. O_O!

Kaizen · Post #4 » by **Kaizen** » Sat May 3, 2008 10:40 pm

Magicfn1 wrote:One of the horses broke it's 2 front ankles and had to be euthanized on the track. O_O!

#5 Eight Belles

I hate it when horses have to be put down and I do not understand the people who make jokes about it.

Big Brown won by the way and he looks like he has a good chance at winning the triple crown.

Rox_Nix_Nox · Post #5 » by **Rox_Nix_Nox** » Sat May 3, 2008 11:03 pm

Great race. Big Brown looks like a legit player for the triple crown.

and Eight Belles came in second and shortly later was gone, terrible.

Illuminati · Post #6 » by **Illuminati** » Sat May 3, 2008 11:53 pm

CZAR85 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-

#5 Eight Belles

I hate it when horses have to be put down and I do not understand the people who make jokes about it.

Big Brown won by the way and he looks like he has a good chance at winning the triple crown.

It was sad seeing Eight Belles go down, brutal sport. Big Brown is the real, the 4th fav. in the last 20 years to win the race.

Post #7 » by **BlackMamba** » Mon May 5, 2008 2:30 pm

eight belles going down and sacrificed on the track was a sad moment.

kiz5 · Post #8 » by **kiz5** » Fri May 16, 2008 6:40 pm

Behindathebar scratched today.

Big Brown is going to be nearly impossible to beat.

kiz5 · Post #9 » by **kiz5** » Sat May 17, 2008 3:33 pm

Post Horse ML Odds
1 Macho Again 20-1
2 Tres Borrachos 30-1
3 Icabad Crane 30-1
4 Yankee Bravo 15-1
5 SCRATCHED - Behindathebar 10-1
6 Racecar Rhapsody 30-1
7 Big Brown 1-2
8 Kentucky Bear 15-1
9 Stevil 30-1
10 Riley Tucker 30-1
11 Giant Moon 30-1
12 Gayego 8-1
13 Hey Byrn 20-1

These odds are horrible on Big Brown, but are well deserved. He should win this race, without a problem. The only problem is, 2 weeks of rest is something this horse isn't used to running on. If it was 3 weeks rest, this horse would be going off at 1-9 possibly (bet $10 to win $1!).

So, the key to winning money this race is going to be the exotics.

One bet, to win:
#12 Gayego -- as much as I think Big Brown will run away with this, this is the only horse in this race that has a legit chance to beat BB, IMO.

Exactas to bet:
- #7 with #12 Gayego (had him to finish 2nd in the Derby), and toss in #10 Riley Tucker as well in a box.
- The long shot exacta -> #10 Riley Tucker with #11 Giant Moon. Nothing more than $5. Could pay huge. Giant Moon could make a run, or could finish last. We'll see.

For my tri, I'll be using the same horses basically..
Wheeled Tri: #7 to win, with #12, #10, #8.
Another, with Gayego winning: #12 with #7, #1, #10.

Let'see how it goes today. These two horses are well above the rest of the competition, in my opinion, and it should show today. If one of them wins, money should be coming in.

Rox_Nix_Nox · Post #10 » by **Rox_Nix_Nox** » Sat May 17, 2008 10:44 pm

That look so easy for Big Brown. I think he's got the triple crown.

LaymansTerms · Post #11 » by **LaymansTerms** » Sun May 18, 2008 4:39 am

^I wouldn't be so sure but I hope he gets it.

Rox_Nix_Nox · Post #12 » by **Rox_Nix_Nox** » Sun May 18, 2008 7:40 am

LaymansTerms wrote:^I wouldn't be so sure but I hope he gets it.

The only competition he might face in The Belmont Stakes is from Casino Drive who's won both his races easily. Also Kent Desormeaux, big browns jockey, rode Casino Drive in the Peter Pan Stakes. So I think the familiarity he has with both horses will be an advantage in Big Browns favor.

kiz5 · Post #13 » by **kiz5** » Sun May 18, 2008 4:14 pm

A box of Big Brown / the Japanese horse is going to be the best possible bet for this race. I might just lay $400 on it, which will make me feel crazy for doing so on an exotic, but ah well.

Rox_Nix_Nox · Post #14 » by **Rox_Nix_Nox** » Mon May 26, 2008 4:05 am

Might want to hold onto that $400

Big Brown has a crack in his front left hoof.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/co ... 01782.html

AdamTheGreek · Post #15 » by **AdamTheGreek** » Mon May 26, 2008 5:12 am

Yikes, that sucks for Big Brown but I still think he's strong enough to take the Triple Crown. Had faith in the horse even before the Kentucky Derby.

Post #16 » by **BlackMamba** » Sat Jun 7, 2008 11:08 pm

Da'Tara wins, no triple crown for Big Browns

Rox_Nix_Nox · Post #17 » by **Rox_Nix_Nox** » Sat Jun 7, 2008 11:11 pm

Big Brown was a different horse today. His trainers are going to take a lot of heat these next few days.

hermes · Post #18 » by **hermes** » Sun Jun 8, 2008 2:39 am

what in the world happened to Big Brown
i heard that they didn't give him his steroid shot last month, wonder if that had anything to do with it

Post #19 » by **HMFFL** » Sun Jun 8, 2008 5:38 am

^

From what I heard on the radio today Big Brown did receive a steroid shot.