Post#75 » by Ascrilas » Wed Jun 20, 2018 5:47 pm
People underrate the importance of an existing system, a youth system, a coaching system, infrastructure in the higher ranks, all that stuff.
Population is not everything, as many have already said.
To establish such a system, you'd need at least 10 years, probably even 20. Once this has happened, the USA could easily contend to be a Top 5 nation. But before? Quarter-finals exit at best. Probably lower.
Just as a comparison:
Russia has a population of nearly 150 million, is a country which has been known to excel in various sports (yes, also just imagine the obligatory doping joke) - and football is actually the most popular sport in Russia according to studies, even above ice hockey. Apart from 2008, they've been absolutely **** for decades.
The United States have a population of 325 million, I don't think you can take it for granted to become good when you look at Russia as an example.
Belgium has a population of 11 million and has been equal to Russia over the past decades, sometimes they were irrelevant and much worse, sometimes they were stacked and much better (e.g. now).
The Netherlands have a population of 17 million and have been one of the 6 or 7 best countries in soccer between 1970 and 2010.
Uruguay has a population of 3 million (!) and have been a perennial semi-final contender for years.
Now let's not take China or India or Pakistan as an example because soccer is not the #1 sport there, and the same with African countries because they mostly lack infrastructure on all levels, but look at a country like Indonesia (260 million) - surely they're not a developed as a country like the US, but they're far from being a shithole, too, and have proven to be able to excel at some sports (like badminton). Yet in soccer, they're one of the worst teams in the world.
So, what I wanna say is, it's not that easy. It's not easy to translate a theoretical talent base into an existing one, and it's not easy to translate an existing talent base into an existing talented team.