RealGM

Update 4/26

Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Balance: $820
Pending Bets: $560

Results Pending:
Mavs series win $140
Celtics to Win East* $140
Pacers +1.5 vs Bucks $140
Wolves series win $70
Series Thunder-1.5 vs Pelicans $70

Bet Results (Graded):
Lakers to MISS PLAYOFFS $60 - LOSS
G1 Magic-Cavs Under $70 WIN
G1 Knicks -3 $70 WIN
G1 Knicks Under $70
G1 Wolves -1.5 $70 WIN
G1 Celtics -14 vs Heat $70 WIN
G1 Celtics-Heat Under 209.5 $70 WIN
G1 Pacers -1 vs Bucks $70 LOSS
G1 Pacers-Bucks Over 230.5 $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder -8 vs Pels $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder-Pels 216.0 $70 WIN
G2 Heat-Celtics Under 204.0 $100 LOSS
G3 Magic -2.5 vs Cavs $70 WIN
G3 Lakers -1 vs Nuggs $70 LOSS
G3 Sixers -5 vs Knicks $70 WIN
Series Celtics to win via Sweep $70 LOSS
G3 Mavs -4.5 $70 WIN

Bets today:

G3 Celtics -9.0 vs Heat $70
G3 Pelicans +2.0 vs Thunder $70

Still thinking about LA (+3.5) and if they can avoid a sweep. LOL

Bets today;

G4 Knicks-Sixers Under 209.0 $70
G4 Mavericks -6 $70
G4 Pacers -9.5 $70
G4 Suns +2.5 $70

Update 4/29

Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Balance: $1230
Pending Bets: $350

Results Pending:
Mavs series win $140
Celtics to Win East* $140
Series Thunder-1.5 vs Pelicans $70

Bet Results (Graded):
Series: Pacers +1.5 vs Bucks $140 WIN
Wolves series win $70 WIN
Lakers to MISS PLAYOFFS $60 - LOSS
G1 Magic-Cavs Under $70 WIN
G1 Knicks -3 $70 WIN
G1 Knicks Under $70
G1 Wolves -1.5 $70 WIN
G1 Celtics -14 vs Heat $70 WIN
G1 Celtics-Heat Under 209.5 $70 WIN
G1 Pacers -1 vs Bucks $70 LOSS
G1 Pacers-Bucks Over 230.5 $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder -8 vs Pels $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder-Pels 216.0 $70 WIN
G2 Heat-Celtics Under 204.0 $100 LOSS
G3 Magic -2.5 vs Cavs $70 WIN
G3 Lakers -1 vs Nuggs $70 LOSS
G3 Sixers -5 vs Knicks $70 WIN
Series Celtics to win via Sweep $70 LOSS
G3 Mavs -4.5 $70 WIN
G3 Celtics -9.0 vs Heat $70WIN
G3 Pelicans +2.0 vs Thunder $70 LOSS
G4 Knicks-Sixers Under 209.0 $70WIN
G4 Mavericks -6 $70 LOSS
G4 Pacers -9.5 $70WIN
G4 Suns +2.5 $70 LOSS

Bad last two days, just 3-3 but got both series predictions correct (Pacers +1.5 games and Wolves series wins) so up a bit overall ($1000 starting now at $1500 +, including pending bets)

Adding for Monday's games:

G4 Celtics -10.5 $70
G5 Nuggets -7 $70
G4 Pelicans +4.5 $70

4/30
G5 Cavs-Magic Under 203.0 $70
G5 Pacers-Bucks Under 215.0 $70

Update 5/1

Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Balance: $1200
Pending Bets: $280

Results Pending:
Mavs series win $140
Celtics to Win East* $140


Bet Results (Graded):
Series: Pacers +1.5 vs Bucks $140 WIN
Wolves series win $70 WIN
Lakers to MISS PLAYOFFS $60 - LOSS
G1 Magic-Cavs Under $70 WIN
G1 Knicks -3 $70 WIN
G1 Knicks Under $70
G1 Wolves -1.5 $70 WIN
G1 Celtics -14 vs Heat $70 WIN
G1 Celtics-Heat Under 209.5 $70 WIN
G1 Pacers -1 vs Bucks $70 LOSS
G1 Pacers-Bucks Over 230.5 $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder -8 vs Pels $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder-Pels 216.0 $70 WIN
G2 Heat-Celtics Under 204.0 $100 LOSS
G3 Magic -2.5 vs Cavs $70 WIN
G3 Lakers -1 vs Nuggs $70 LOSS
G3 Sixers -5 vs Knicks $70 WIN
Series Celtics to win via Sweep $70 LOSS
G3 Mavs -4.5 $70 WIN
G3 Celtics -9.0 vs Heat $70WIN
G3 Pelicans +2.0 vs Thunder $70 LOSS
G4 Knicks-Sixers Under 209.0 $70WIN
G4 Mavericks -6 $70 LOSS
G4 Pacers -9.5 $70WIN
G4 Suns +2.5 $70 LOSS
G4 Celtics -10.5 $70WIN
G5 Nuggets -7 $70 LOSS
G4 Pelicans +4.5 $70 LOSS
G5 Cavs-Magic Under 203.0 $70 LOSS
G5 Pacers-Bucks Under 215.0 $70WIN
Series Thunder-1.5 vs Pelicans $70WIN

5/2

G6 Mavericks -8 vs Clippers $70
G6 Magic -4 vs Cavaliers $70

5/2

G6 Clipps-Mavs Under 208.0 $70
G6 Cavs-Magic Under 200.0 $70


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

durden_tyler wrote:5/2

G6 Mavericks -8 vs Clippers $70
G6 Magic -4 vs Cavaliers $70

Flipped to Cavaliers +4.5 i just feel the series ends tonight..

Pacers odds to win series against Knicks are really good.. that seems like a decent bet, people are way too low on the Pacers because they didn't quickly dismantle Bucks.

Pacers have better depth and play with speed. After that 1st round series for Knicks I'm betting they collapse against Pacers over the series because of their pace.

Update 5/4

Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Balance: $1670
Pending Bets: $140

Results Pending:
Celtics to Win East* $140


Bet Results (Graded):
Series: Pacers +1.5 vs Bucks $140 WIN
Wolves series win $70 WIN
Lakers to MISS PLAYOFFS $60 - LOSS
G1 Magic-Cavs Under $70 WIN
G1 Knicks -3 $70 WIN
G1 Knicks Under $70
G1 Wolves -1.5 $70 WIN
G1 Celtics -14 vs Heat $70 WIN
G1 Celtics-Heat Under 209.5 $70 WIN
G1 Pacers -1 vs Bucks $70 LOSS
G1 Pacers-Bucks Over 230.5 $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder -8 vs Pels $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder-Pels 216.0 $70 WIN
G2 Heat-Celtics Under 204.0 $100 LOSS
G3 Magic -2.5 vs Cavs $70 WIN
G3 Lakers -1 vs Nuggs $70 LOSS
G3 Sixers -5 vs Knicks $70 WIN
Series Celtics to win via Sweep $70 LOSS
G3 Mavs -4.5 $70 WIN
G3 Celtics -9.0 vs Heat $70WIN
G3 Pelicans +2.0 vs Thunder $70 LOSS
G4 Knicks-Sixers Under 209.0 $70WIN
G4 Mavericks -6 $70 LOSS
G4 Pacers -9.5 $70WIN
G4 Suns +2.5 $70 LOSS
G4 Celtics -10.5 $70WIN
G5 Nuggets -7 $70 LOSS
G4 Pelicans +4.5 $70 LOSS
G5 Cavs-Magic Under 203.0 $70 LOSS
G5 Pacers-Bucks Under 215.0 $70WIN
Series Thunder-1.5 vs Pelicans $70WIN
G6 Mavericks -8 vs Clippers $70WIN
G6 Magic -4 vs Cavaliers $70WIN
G6 Clipps-Mavs Under 208.0 $70LOSS
G6 Cavs-Magic Under 200.0 $70WIN
G6 Cavs +4.5 vs Magic $70LOSS
Mavs series win $140WIN

zimpy27 wrote:Pacers odds to win series against Knicks are really good.. that seems like a decent bet, people are way too low on the Pacers because they didn't quickly dismantle Bucks.

Pacers have better depth and play with speed. After that 1st round series for Knicks I'm betting they collapse against Pacers over the series because of their pace.

i have a different opinion in this. i think the line is fine (Knicks -1.5 for the series) and New York is favored accordingly. i thought the Pacers were never really tested vs the injury-riddle Bucks while the Knicks have faced a worthy opponents in Philadelphia (better quality than the Pacers)

i do have issues on fatigue and how this Knicks team will hold up. Too much Brunson (necessary) and we've already seen good-to-great contributions from the role players (Hart, OG, Donte) so it's only a matter of time if we're seeing a tired NY team and that will affect their effort on defense (especially on defense).

However, i think it's a bit overblown too, as long as no major injuries happen i think they are capable of delivering those 40+ minutes per game and still be effective.

i am taking Knicks -1.5 for the series, expecting a 4-2 series win and even better if they close it out wayyy earlier.

durden_tyler wrote:Update 5/4

Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Balance: $1670
Pending Bets: $140

Results Pending:
Celtics to Win East* $140


Bet Results (Graded):
Series: Pacers +1.5 vs Bucks $140 WIN
Wolves series win $70 WIN
Lakers to MISS PLAYOFFS $60 - LOSS
G1 Magic-Cavs Under $70 WIN
G1 Knicks -3 $70 WIN
G1 Knicks Under $70
G1 Wolves -1.5 $70 WIN
G1 Celtics -14 vs Heat $70 WIN
G1 Celtics-Heat Under 209.5 $70 WIN
G1 Pacers -1 vs Bucks $70 LOSS
G1 Pacers-Bucks Over 230.5 $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder -8 vs Pels $70 LOSS
G1 Thunder-Pels 216.0 $70 WIN
G2 Heat-Celtics Under 204.0 $100 LOSS
G3 Magic -2.5 vs Cavs $70 WIN
G3 Lakers -1 vs Nuggs $70 LOSS
G3 Sixers -5 vs Knicks $70 WIN
Series Celtics to win via Sweep $70 LOSS
G3 Mavs -4.5 $70 WIN
G3 Celtics -9.0 vs Heat $70WIN
G3 Pelicans +2.0 vs Thunder $70 LOSS
G4 Knicks-Sixers Under 209.0 $70WIN
G4 Mavericks -6 $70 LOSS
G4 Pacers -9.5 $70WIN
G4 Suns +2.5 $70 LOSS
G4 Celtics -10.5 $70WIN
G5 Nuggets -7 $70 LOSS
G4 Pelicans +4.5 $70 LOSS
G5 Cavs-Magic Under 203.0 $70 LOSS
G5 Pacers-Bucks Under 215.0 $70WIN
Series Thunder-1.5 vs Pelicans $70WIN
G6 Mavericks -8 vs Clippers $70WIN
G6 Magic -4 vs Cavaliers $7WIN
G6 Clipps-Mavs Under 208.0 $7LOSS
G6 Cavs-Magic Under 200.0 $7WIN
G6 Cavs +4.5 vs Magic $70LOSS
Mavs series win $140WIN

Added bets as of 5/4:

Knicks-1.5 series vs Pacers $200
Wolves +1 series vs Nuggets $140
Mavericks ML series vs Thunder $100

Update 5/4

Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Balance: $1350
Pending Bets: $580

Results Pending:
Celtics to Win East* $140
Knicks-1.5 series vs Pacers $200
Wolves +1 series vs Nuggets $140
Mavericks ML series vs Thunder $100

Finally used Excel to do the math for accurate balance, pending etc. LOL

durden_tyler wrote:

zimpy27 wrote:Pacers odds to win series against Knicks are really good.. that seems like a decent bet, people are way too low on the Pacers because they didn't quickly dismantle Bucks.

Pacers have better depth and play with speed. After that 1st round series for Knicks I'm betting they collapse against Pacers over the series because of their pace.

i have a different opinion in this. i think the line is fine (Knicks -1.5 for the series) and New York is favored accordingly. i thought the Pacers were never really tested vs the injury-riddle Bucks while the Knicks have faced a worthy opponents in Philadelphia (better quality than the Pacers)

i do have issues on fatigue and how this Knicks team will hold up. Too much Brunson (necessary) and we've already seen good-to-great contributions from the role players (Hart, OG, Donte) so it's only a matter of time if we're seeing a tired NY team and that will affect their effort on defense (especially on defense).

However, i think it's a bit overblown too, as long as no major injuries happen i think they are capable of delivering those 40+ minutes per game and still be effective.

i am taking Knicks -1.5 for the series, expecting a 4-2 series win and even better if they close it out wayyy earlier.

The series bet of 3 to 1 on Knicks is too high. This should be a relatively even odds series considering Pacers were better in the RS head-to-head and they are less injured now.

Even if Knicks has a slight favour, they are getting pumped up by their crowd I betting odds. It's worth a shot on Pacers because of the overrated odds for Knicks IMO.

Added 5/6

G1 Knicks -6.0 vs Pacers $70
G2 Nuggets -5.5 vs Wolves $70

zimpy27 wrote:

durden_tyler wrote:

zimpy27 wrote:Pacers odds to win series against Knicks are really good.. that seems like a decent bet, people are way too low on the Pacers because they didn't quickly dismantle Bucks.

Pacers have better depth and play with speed. After that 1st round series for Knicks I'm betting they collapse against Pacers over the series because of their pace.

i have a different opinion in this. i think the line is fine (Knicks -1.5 for the series) and New York is favored accordingly. i thought the Pacers were never really tested vs the injury-riddle Bucks while the Knicks have faced a worthy opponents in Philadelphia (better quality than the Pacers)

i do have issues on fatigue and how this Knicks team will hold up. Too much Brunson (necessary) and we've already seen good-to-great contributions from the role players (Hart, OG, Donte) so it's only a matter of time if we're seeing a tired NY team and that will affect their effort on defense (especially on defense).

However, i think it's a bit overblown too, as long as no major injuries happen i think they are capable of delivering those 40+ minutes per game and still be effective.

i am taking Knicks -1.5 for the series, expecting a 4-2 series win and even better if they close it out wayyy earlier.

The series bet of 3 to 1 on Knicks is too high. This should be a relatively even odds series considering Pacers were better in the RS head-to-head and they are less injured now.

Even if Knicks has a slight favour, they are getting pumped up by their crowd I betting odds. It's worth a shot on Pacers because of the overrated odds for Knicks IMO.

i have no doubts Knicks can finish this in 5 games, what i am worried about is the game to game basis-- Indiana is capable of making it close and just scary for a regular 5.5 points spread throughout the series and i don't think New York covers easily (like in Game 1)

durden_tyler wrote:

zimpy27 wrote:

durden_tyler wrote:
i have a different opinion in this. i think the line is fine (Knicks -1.5 for the series) and New York is favored accordingly. i thought the Pacers were never really tested vs the injury-riddle Bucks while the Knicks have faced a worthy opponents in Philadelphia (better quality than the Pacers)

i do have issues on fatigue and how this Knicks team will hold up. Too much Brunson (necessary) and we've already seen good-to-great contributions from the role players (Hart, OG, Donte) so it's only a matter of time if we're seeing a tired NY team and that will affect their effort on defense (especially on defense).

However, i think it's a bit overblown too, as long as no major injuries happen i think they are capable of delivering those 40+ minutes per game and still be effective.

i am taking Knicks -1.5 for the series, expecting a 4-2 series win and even better if they close it out wayyy earlier.

The series bet of 3 to 1 on Knicks is too high. This should be a relatively even odds series considering Pacers were better in the RS head-to-head and they are less injured now.

Even if Knicks has a slight favour, they are getting pumped up by their crowd I betting odds. It's worth a shot on Pacers because of the overrated odds for Knicks IMO.

i have no doubts Knicks can finish this in 5 games, what i am worried about is the game to game basis-- Indiana is capable of making it close and just scary for a regular 5.5 points spread throughout the series and i don't think New York covers easily (like in Game 1)

I mean Knicks shot the lights out and barely won tonight at home. I think Pacers will win Game 2.

zimpy27 wrote:

durden_tyler wrote:

zimpy27 wrote:
The series bet of 3 to 1 on Knicks is too high. This should be a relatively even odds series considering Pacers were better in the RS head-to-head and they are less injured now.

Even if Knicks has a slight favour, they are getting pumped up by their crowd I betting odds. It's worth a shot on Pacers because of the overrated odds for Knicks IMO.

i have no doubts Knicks can finish this in 5 games, what i am worried about is the game to game basis-- Indiana is capable of making it close and just scary for a regular 5.5 points spread throughout the series and i don't think New York covers easily (like in Game 1)

I mean Knicks shot the lights out and barely won tonight at home. I think Pacers will win Game 2.

Move that guarantee to Game 3 (after the calls tonight) so we're on the same page. LOL.

i believe Indy wins that game, proceeds to lose Games 4 and 5 and Knicks finish this early. If OG is indeed hurt, they can push this to six games and my Knicks -1.5 series bet is still safe.