Bob8 wrote:CoP wrote:Bob8 wrote:
Mavs offensive rtg with Luka on court is 113 and 68 when he's off court. Mavs offense is nonexistent without him.
More specifically, the Mavs offense is nonexistent without Luka and Irving on the court.
Not sure where you got your on/off numbers. BBREF shows 115.4 on court and 83.3 off court for Luka. Irving's is similar: 116.5 and 89.7.
Either way, these numbers kind of prove my point, which is that looking at on/off numbers in small sample sizes is not a good idea.
I'm not saying Luka isn't amazing on offense - even in a series when he's not shooting well, the attention he draws boosts an offense. No doubt about it. I'm just saying his on/off numbers in small sample sizes absolutely can get boosted by him getting subbed off for defensive possessions late in close games.
On Nba.com.
Kyrie is playing a lot better, but he's having a lot worse +/-, on/off numbers, because Mavs without Kyrie still somehow survive, but when Luka goes out everything stops. That shows +/-, on/off on BBREF too.
Kyrie, +1; +8 on/off.
Luka with unbelievable + 7.9;
+74.6 on/off.
Kyrie is unbelievable while playing with Luka, much better than Luka, but he's not Pg and when Luka goes out, Mavs offense just stops. Exum is unfortunately unplayable as Pg in this series. That's why Luka has absurd on/off. Luka didn't play especially well but had positive +/- in all 4 games. In both, first and last, they were -15 without him on the court. He didn't play only 9 minutes in those 2 games they have lost. So Mavs were
- 30 in just 9 minutes without him. I have looked at your thesis, there wasn't sub like you're talking about in game 1 and there really were 3 FTS made by Clippers without Luka late in 4Th Q in game 4, but that still leaves -27 in just 9 minutes Luka didn't play in 2 lost games.
My post was in response to yours about the Mavs' offense, and Luka's ORTG on/off. Kyries ORTG on/off is also huge this series, as he has been incredible on offense. However, as I said before, on/off numbers are a bad metric for extremely small sample sizes.
Where do you find on/off numbers on nba.com? I'm curious. I'd probably rather go with nba.com numbers rather than bbref. There's often a discrepancy between the two because of how each of them calculate it. Like bbref says that Luka has a negative net rating for this series, which is bizarre.