MartinToVaught wrote:The funniest part about the "weak East" narrative is that when the East was actually good, MJ was getting swept out of the first round. When Stern legislated the Bad Boy Pistons out of the game and watered the league down with expansion, that's when the real winning started for Jordan. But yeah, it's LeBron who the league is catering to.
In his career, Jordan beat 15 teams that had +1000 or better pre-playoff title odds, while LeBron beat 9 such teams. If we use pre-playoff title odds and add up the implicit pre-playoff expected title chances of every single team LeBron beat in the playoffs and every team Jordan beat in the playoffs (so, for instance, beating a team with +300 pre-playoff title odds would add 0.25 to the cumulative total), Jordan’s defeated opponents had a cumulative pre-playoff expected titles of 2.86, compared to 2.62 for LeBron’s defeated opponents (despite LeBron having won 41 series to 30 for Jordan). And if we just did this analysis for teams before the Finals (i.e. to test out the relative weakness of their conference opponents specifically), we still have Jordan having defeated teams with a higher cumulative pre-playoff expected titles than LeBron—despite LeBron having won over 50% more non-Finals series than Jordan. The average pre-playoff expected title chances for LeBron’s defeated non-Finals opponents was 4.48%, while it was 6.93% for Jordan’s defeated non-Finals opponents (and with Finals in there, it’s 6.40% for LeBron’s opponents, and 9.55% for Jordan’s opponents). So yeah, even if you just look at the teams that each guy actually beat, Jordan’s conference opponents were stronger.
I also notice how the quality of competition argument only seems to work one way. Nobody ever compares Jordan's path to what Kareem had to go through to get to the Finals. Kareem had to go through the likes of Wilt, Thurmond, Sikma, Gervin, Drexler just to play for his rings. Not a bunch of Strickland and Blaylock led teams with an occasional tough series against pre-prime Shaq. By the time the West actually got easy, Kareem was about to retire. There's always a convenient blind spot to anyone who played before Jordan.
I’m not sure what your point is here regarding Kareem. The reason nobody compares Jordan’s paths to Kareem’s paths is that Kareem did not have particularly difficult paths.
You mention Thurmond and Wilt, but in Kareem’s 1971 title you’re missing that the team they played in the Finals was a 42-win, 0.91 SRS team. You’ve also missed that, in the run to the Finals, the Nate Thurmond team he beat that year was a 41-win, negative SRS team, and that that Wilt Lakers team the 1971 Bucks beat in the conference finals was a 48-win team that was missing Jerry West in the playoffs (and he’d been there the vast majority of the season and they’d still only won 48 games). People don’t talk about the difficulty of that title run because it was surely one of the least difficult in history! Of course, the 1971 Bucks were so good that there’s a very good chance they win even with a harder run, but then again they were similarly good the next year and lost in 6 when they faced a great team. And then in 1973 the Bucks won 60 games and lost in the first round to a 47-win team. They made the Finals in 1974, but beating the Goodrich-led Lakers and Norm-Van-Lier-led Bulls wasn’t exactly a difficult run (though the Bulls were at least a solid team) and then they lost in the Finals. Then we go to the Lakers. Before Magic showed up, Kareem’s Lakers didn’t do much in the playoffs, so there’s no Finals runs to talk about there. And, in the 1980s, the Western Conference was notoriously weak. So like, what super difficult paths are you talking about for Kareem? The most difficult conference opponent he ever beat in a Finals run is probably the 1980 Sonics. They were defending champs and were a good team, but weren’t exactly brimming with historic talent. Or maybe the 1989 Suns were the best one, but Kareem was a 41-year-old role player at that point. Kareem’s runs to the Finals generally benefited from a weak conference (as well as the NBA just being in a really weird place in Kareem’s early years, due to the ABA).