3/21 Lines and Betting
Posted: Mon Mar 21, 2022 7:08 pm
Seems a little dead here in the betting forum so I'll create this thread and hope it sparks some convo.
9 game slate, some better basketball games than betting games tonight.
MIA/PHI is going to be a slugfest. My heart says PHI +4.5 but I'll stay away and just be a fan here.
The next game I'm looking at is the DET/POR game. DET -9 feels laughable, I know the Blazers are bad and missing the whole team but I'm not taking 9 points on the Pistons. I do however like the O222.5. Both teams are horrific defensively and the Pistons have actually been > 5pts better offensively in the last month 1/2 (especially against bad defensive teams.) The Blazers haven't played a single game without at least 1 of (Lillard, Mccollum, Hart, Nurk, Simons) this season so it's tough to tell what the offense will be like but anecdotally it seems that bench and fringe guys play significantly better than expectation in situations like this, especially against bad teams.
Cavs homer so of course I have to bet on the game. I generally avoid Laker games either way and I really don't like the line here tonight but I do like the Cavs defense, slow pace, and recent offensive struggles to take the U227 here tonight
Other than this I'll probably take some player props here and there but otherwise a light betting night
9 game slate, some better basketball games than betting games tonight.
MIA/PHI is going to be a slugfest. My heart says PHI +4.5 but I'll stay away and just be a fan here.
The next game I'm looking at is the DET/POR game. DET -9 feels laughable, I know the Blazers are bad and missing the whole team but I'm not taking 9 points on the Pistons. I do however like the O222.5. Both teams are horrific defensively and the Pistons have actually been > 5pts better offensively in the last month 1/2 (especially against bad defensive teams.) The Blazers haven't played a single game without at least 1 of (Lillard, Mccollum, Hart, Nurk, Simons) this season so it's tough to tell what the offense will be like but anecdotally it seems that bench and fringe guys play significantly better than expectation in situations like this, especially against bad teams.
Cavs homer so of course I have to bet on the game. I generally avoid Laker games either way and I really don't like the line here tonight but I do like the Cavs defense, slow pace, and recent offensive struggles to take the U227 here tonight
Other than this I'll probably take some player props here and there but otherwise a light betting night