Post#54 » by coldfish » Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:19 pm
The whole situation is actually pretty complicated. I think a lot of people are stating their opinions based on assumptions that are unstated. I'll try to lay out the situation, as best I can:
There are really 4 slots that are in play here.
- Hinrich at $9.5M
- Gordon at some unknown amount
- Luol at $10.4M
- A max contract player at $15 to $18M
That's assuming that Tyrus is renounced and Salmons opts out.
Out of those 4 slots, the Bulls can have any 3 of them under contract next year. However, getting rid of Deng or Hinrich requires some team to give up mostly expirings for them.
Now, when evaluating the players, certain assumptions are being made regularly. How much will Gordon get? How healthy is Deng? etc.
Personally, if I ignore injuries, fit and contracts, I would rank them:
1. Max contract player
2. Deng
3T. Gordon - Hinrich
Basically, if you look at it that way, the Bulls just need to dump either Gordon or Hinrich. Gordon is the easier one, since he isn't even under contract.
Now, if I take fit, contract (assuming Gordon at an escalating $10M per year deal) and injuries into account, I would rank them:
1. Max contract player
2. Gordon
3T. Deng - Hinrich
Basically, when I look at it this way the team should be bending over backwards to get rid of Deng or Hinrich to keep Gordon while retaining space for a max contract guy.
In both cases though, I rank the max contract slot in 2010 as the highest value. That means I would dump any of the lower three if I had to in order to get the max contract slot.
Now, the last issue is that if the Bulls can *trade* their expiring deals this year for a stud, then there is no need to dump any of the players other than a minutes crunch problem.